1 00:00:06,389 --> 00:00:03,270 hello so uh chris lato a former 2 00:00:07,190 --> 00:00:06,399 f-16 fighter pilot has released a couple 3 00:00:10,709 --> 00:00:07,200 of videos 4 00:00:14,310 --> 00:00:10,719 that he says debunk my debunks he 5 00:00:15,430 --> 00:00:14,320 debunks the gimbal video and the go fast 6 00:00:18,950 --> 00:00:15,440 video 7 00:00:21,029 --> 00:00:18,960 now i disagree with his uh analysis and 8 00:00:23,029 --> 00:00:21,039 i'm going to explain why 9 00:00:25,269 --> 00:00:23,039 let's start with the go fast analysis 10 00:00:27,910 --> 00:00:25,279 now the majority of his 11 00:00:31,029 --> 00:00:27,920 uh criticism of this appears to be based 12 00:00:32,870 --> 00:00:31,039 on focus he spends a lot of time 13 00:00:34,630 --> 00:00:32,880 explaining that he doesn't think that 14 00:00:35,190 --> 00:00:34,640 something can be five miles away in 15 00:00:39,670 --> 00:00:35,200 focus 16 00:00:41,990 --> 00:00:39,680 camera his obvious to anyone who's ever 17 00:00:42,709 --> 00:00:42,000 flown these things is you can't focus at 18 00:00:44,790 --> 00:00:42,719 something 19 00:00:45,750 --> 00:00:44,800 10 miles away and then focus at 20 00:00:48,069 --> 00:00:45,760 something 21 00:00:49,110 --> 00:00:48,079 five miles away it just is not how 22 00:00:51,750 --> 00:00:49,120 physics works right 23 00:00:53,350 --> 00:00:51,760 and he does a bunch of uh demonstrations 24 00:00:55,270 --> 00:00:53,360 along these lines i 25 00:00:56,549 --> 00:00:55,280 i could do i could demonstrate the 26 00:00:58,229 --> 00:00:56,559 effect he's doing 27 00:01:00,950 --> 00:00:58,239 quite easily by holding up something 28 00:01:03,349 --> 00:01:00,960 halfway between the camera and my face 29 00:01:04,789 --> 00:01:03,359 my face is in focus but this thing which 30 00:01:06,550 --> 00:01:04,799 is halfway between them 31 00:01:08,390 --> 00:01:06,560 is not so you could think my face is at 32 00:01:08,950 --> 00:01:08,400 10 miles and this is at five miles and 33 00:01:10,469 --> 00:01:08,960 so 34 00:01:11,990 --> 00:01:10,479 you know you can't be both in focus at 35 00:01:14,870 --> 00:01:12,000 the same time but of course 36 00:01:15,830 --> 00:01:14,880 this this isn't actually true uh in the 37 00:01:17,270 --> 00:01:15,840 in the broad 38 00:01:18,870 --> 00:01:17,280 sense of you know 10 miles and five 39 00:01:20,149 --> 00:01:18,880 miles being in focus at the same time 40 00:01:23,590 --> 00:01:20,159 like here's 41 00:01:24,550 --> 00:01:23,600 a picture of yosemite this shows el 42 00:01:26,469 --> 00:01:24,560 capitan 43 00:01:28,310 --> 00:01:26,479 which is this big one in the front which 44 00:01:29,350 --> 00:01:28,320 is 5 miles away from the camera and it 45 00:01:31,670 --> 00:01:29,360 shows half dome 46 00:01:33,350 --> 00:01:31,680 which is 10 miles away from the camera 47 00:01:34,390 --> 00:01:33,360 and both of them are in perfect focus 48 00:01:36,230 --> 00:01:34,400 and this is at 49 00:01:38,469 --> 00:01:36,240 200 millimeters so it's not a wide angle 50 00:01:40,789 --> 00:01:38,479 lens it's actually a zoom lens 51 00:01:42,789 --> 00:01:40,799 so it's zoomed in it's not zoomed in as 52 00:01:43,270 --> 00:01:42,799 much as the app layer system of course 53 00:01:47,429 --> 00:01:43,280 but 54 00:01:51,990 --> 00:01:47,439 i also have uh a nikon p900 55 00:01:54,950 --> 00:01:52,000 which has a 2000 millimeter equivalent 56 00:01:56,310 --> 00:01:54,960 lens uh which gives it pretty much the 57 00:01:58,630 --> 00:01:56,320 same field of view as 58 00:01:59,350 --> 00:01:58,640 the app layer system and i've modified 59 00:02:01,109 --> 00:01:59,360 it to take 60 00:02:02,950 --> 00:02:01,119 infrared images it's a short wave 61 00:02:04,630 --> 00:02:02,960 infrared not long wave infrared but you 62 00:02:07,190 --> 00:02:04,640 know it's still infrared 63 00:02:08,790 --> 00:02:07,200 and i took it up to the lake and i 64 00:02:10,550 --> 00:02:08,800 focused on the far sure of the lake 65 00:02:12,229 --> 00:02:10,560 which is about four miles away 66 00:02:13,830 --> 00:02:12,239 and then i moved the camera down so i 67 00:02:15,190 --> 00:02:13,840 was looking looking at the near shore of 68 00:02:16,710 --> 00:02:15,200 the lake which was about half a mile 69 00:02:18,470 --> 00:02:16,720 away they were both in focus 70 00:02:20,229 --> 00:02:18,480 even though i was at maximum zoom full 71 00:02:21,030 --> 00:02:20,239 two thousand millimeter one degree field 72 00:02:23,030 --> 00:02:21,040 of view 73 00:02:24,390 --> 00:02:23,040 both things are in focus i did this for 74 00:02:25,270 --> 00:02:24,400 a bunch of other things it's kind of 75 00:02:26,869 --> 00:02:25,280 difficult to do 76 00:02:29,110 --> 00:02:26,879 a ground level because you always get 77 00:02:30,550 --> 00:02:29,120 this this heat haze and shimmering 78 00:02:33,589 --> 00:02:30,560 it's a little easier if you're higher up 79 00:02:35,910 --> 00:02:33,599 but it's the point is it's not 80 00:02:38,150 --> 00:02:35,920 impossible to get things in focus at the 81 00:02:39,990 --> 00:02:38,160 same time at 5 miles and 10 miles 82 00:02:42,390 --> 00:02:40,000 really his experiments in the kitchen do 83 00:02:43,270 --> 00:02:42,400 not scale to larger scale you can't take 84 00:02:45,589 --> 00:02:43,280 something on the 85 00:02:47,030 --> 00:02:45,599 order of feet like we have here where 86 00:02:50,630 --> 00:02:47,040 things are not in focus 87 00:02:52,229 --> 00:02:50,640 and scale that up to miles 88 00:02:55,110 --> 00:02:52,239 quite obviously like you know this 89 00:02:57,589 --> 00:02:55,120 picture here things are in focus 90 00:02:58,710 --> 00:02:57,599 so it goes on from that to say that 91 00:03:01,750 --> 00:02:58,720 because 92 00:03:03,589 --> 00:03:01,760 they can't both be in focus then the 93 00:03:04,869 --> 00:03:03,599 range value that's on screen must be 94 00:03:06,949 --> 00:03:04,879 wrong 95 00:03:08,949 --> 00:03:06,959 and he doesn't really justify why it's 96 00:03:10,070 --> 00:03:08,959 wrong so it's kind of basing this i 97 00:03:12,149 --> 00:03:10,080 think on this focus 98 00:03:13,350 --> 00:03:12,159 issue and then saying it must be wrong 99 00:03:15,990 --> 00:03:13,360 but in it's been 100 00:03:17,990 --> 00:03:16,000 three years now no one else has ever 101 00:03:20,309 --> 00:03:18,000 suggested that this range value 102 00:03:21,509 --> 00:03:20,319 uh is wrong and nobody seriously has 103 00:03:24,149 --> 00:03:21,519 brought it up i think 104 00:03:25,110 --> 00:03:24,159 louis elizondo briefly mentioned it but 105 00:03:26,710 --> 00:03:25,120 uh 106 00:03:28,550 --> 00:03:26,720 everybody like all the other pilots who 107 00:03:29,990 --> 00:03:28,560 have looked at it up to this point 108 00:03:32,390 --> 00:03:30,000 you know they've accepted this as far as 109 00:03:33,910 --> 00:03:32,400 i know so i'm gonna leave that one there 110 00:03:35,509 --> 00:03:33,920 because chris himself has kind of said 111 00:03:37,830 --> 00:03:35,519 you know there's a bit of doubt there 112 00:03:39,589 --> 00:03:37,840 hey this ain't no go fast what about the 113 00:03:40,149 --> 00:03:39,599 depth of field maybe the depth of field 114 00:03:42,710 --> 00:03:40,159 okay 115 00:03:44,390 --> 00:03:42,720 let's try it on this one and uh let's 116 00:03:45,589 --> 00:03:44,400 move on to the more interesting one the 117 00:03:47,750 --> 00:03:45,599 gimbal video 118 00:03:49,110 --> 00:03:47,760 so chris's argument here is that the 119 00:03:51,430 --> 00:03:49,120 object is not far away 120 00:03:52,789 --> 00:03:51,440 i made the argument that it might be a a 121 00:03:53,830 --> 00:03:52,799 jet that's far away i think it's 122 00:03:56,470 --> 00:03:53,840 probably not 123 00:03:57,589 --> 00:03:56,480 uh an airline i think it could be though 124 00:03:59,030 --> 00:03:57,599 it might just be 125 00:04:00,470 --> 00:03:59,040 another f-18 but it could be something 126 00:04:01,670 --> 00:04:00,480 that's really far away and we'll kind of 127 00:04:05,270 --> 00:04:01,680 get into that later 128 00:04:07,750 --> 00:04:05,280 now chris draws this diagram on his uh 129 00:04:10,789 --> 00:04:07,760 his video here 130 00:04:12,390 --> 00:04:10,799 this is an overhead diagram of the 131 00:04:15,670 --> 00:04:12,400 motion of the jet 132 00:04:17,349 --> 00:04:15,680 and uh he was going to draw some lines 133 00:04:19,270 --> 00:04:17,359 of bearing lines of bearing 134 00:04:21,590 --> 00:04:19,280 we show you where the camera is looking 135 00:04:23,749 --> 00:04:21,600 and it's fairly straightforward he 136 00:04:24,950 --> 00:04:23,759 has three points there's two shown here 137 00:04:28,230 --> 00:04:24,960 at the moment there's 138 00:04:30,150 --> 00:04:28,240 point one and uh 139 00:04:32,710 --> 00:04:30,160 at that point it's pointing 53 degrees 140 00:04:36,350 --> 00:04:32,720 left 0.2 is pointing 38 degrees left and 141 00:04:41,749 --> 00:04:40,310 0.3 right here is pointing 21 degrees 142 00:04:44,550 --> 00:04:41,759 left so 53 143 00:04:45,590 --> 00:04:44,560 38 21 and these are just 10 seconds 144 00:04:48,310 --> 00:04:45,600 apart 145 00:04:50,390 --> 00:04:48,320 in the video so we know a bunch of other 146 00:04:53,909 --> 00:04:50,400 things we know how fast the jet is going 147 00:04:56,950 --> 00:04:53,919 uh on screen we have the the speed so 148 00:04:58,909 --> 00:04:56,960 242 here i think we take it 241 is a 149 00:05:00,310 --> 00:04:58,919 good average because it goes from 240 to 150 00:05:03,350 --> 00:05:00,320 242. 151 00:05:04,469 --> 00:05:03,360 so 241 knots now this is the calibrated 152 00:05:06,629 --> 00:05:04,479 airspeed 153 00:05:09,510 --> 00:05:06,639 and this is an important distinction 154 00:05:11,590 --> 00:05:09,520 that you need to understand this 155 00:05:13,029 --> 00:05:11,600 a few types of ways of measuring air 156 00:05:15,270 --> 00:05:13,039 speed which is how fast you're moving 157 00:05:16,469 --> 00:05:15,280 relative to the air around you 158 00:05:19,350 --> 00:05:16,479 the two important ones here are 159 00:05:21,110 --> 00:05:19,360 calibrated air spreed and true air speed 160 00:05:22,469 --> 00:05:21,120 true air speed as the name kind of 161 00:05:24,710 --> 00:05:22,479 suggests is how 162 00:05:25,990 --> 00:05:24,720 actually fast you are moving relative to 163 00:05:27,830 --> 00:05:26,000 the air around you 164 00:05:29,510 --> 00:05:27,840 so if there's like you know a cloud here 165 00:05:31,270 --> 00:05:29,520 in the air and you zip past it 166 00:05:33,990 --> 00:05:31,280 your speed relative to that cloud which 167 00:05:37,350 --> 00:05:34,000 isn't moving is your true air speed 168 00:05:39,350 --> 00:05:37,360 there's also a calibrated air speed 169 00:05:41,270 --> 00:05:39,360 which is related to indicated airspeed 170 00:05:41,670 --> 00:05:41,280 which is how fast your instruments tell 171 00:05:45,590 --> 00:05:41,680 you 172 00:05:48,629 --> 00:05:45,600 use these little pitot 173 00:05:50,790 --> 00:05:48,639 tubes uh which measure the difference in 174 00:05:53,670 --> 00:05:50,800 pressure front and back and they 175 00:05:55,350 --> 00:05:53,680 they they have these little chambers 176 00:05:56,950 --> 00:05:55,360 which figure out uh 177 00:05:58,870 --> 00:05:56,960 how fast you're moving but the indicated 178 00:06:00,629 --> 00:05:58,880 air speed varies with altitude it's not 179 00:06:03,510 --> 00:06:00,639 the same as true airspeed 180 00:06:04,230 --> 00:06:03,520 however it's a a useful number because 181 00:06:07,590 --> 00:06:04,240 it's 182 00:06:08,870 --> 00:06:07,600 speeds are given so you're like your 183 00:06:10,950 --> 00:06:08,880 stall speed and 184 00:06:12,950 --> 00:06:10,960 uh your various other speeds that you 185 00:06:14,390 --> 00:06:12,960 need and your various other maneuvering 186 00:06:17,510 --> 00:06:14,400 things they're all given in this 187 00:06:19,430 --> 00:06:17,520 uh this indicated airspeed or rather 188 00:06:20,870 --> 00:06:19,440 calibrated airspeed which is indicated 189 00:06:24,550 --> 00:06:20,880 as speed corrected 190 00:06:27,270 --> 00:06:24,560 for the uh uh instrument errors 191 00:06:29,670 --> 00:06:27,280 so we've got two sps calibrated aspirin 192 00:06:30,309 --> 00:06:29,680 which is his number here 241 we're going 193 00:06:33,029 --> 00:06:30,319 with 194 00:06:34,309 --> 00:06:33,039 and we have true airspeed you can 195 00:06:36,950 --> 00:06:34,319 convert between the two 196 00:06:38,390 --> 00:06:36,960 and the way you do that is you take the 197 00:06:39,189 --> 00:06:38,400 altitude into account because the 198 00:06:41,270 --> 00:06:39,199 altitude 199 00:06:42,550 --> 00:06:41,280 tells you what the pressure is based on 200 00:06:43,350 --> 00:06:42,560 a standard atmosphere we're just 201 00:06:46,550 --> 00:06:43,360 assuming 202 00:06:47,830 --> 00:06:46,560 standard atmosphere here you take the 203 00:06:49,749 --> 00:06:47,840 calibrated calibrated airspeed and you 204 00:06:51,029 --> 00:06:49,759 take the altitude just plug it into one 205 00:06:53,749 --> 00:06:51,039 of these calculators 206 00:06:54,950 --> 00:06:53,759 and it comes out as being 350 knots you 207 00:06:58,189 --> 00:06:54,960 can do that here 208 00:07:01,270 --> 00:06:58,199 is 25 000 feet calibrated sp 209 00:07:04,550 --> 00:07:01,280 241 41 comes up 210 00:07:05,189 --> 00:07:04,560 true sp 350 knots so that's the number 211 00:07:07,749 --> 00:07:05,199 we're gonna 212 00:07:10,790 --> 00:07:07,759 we need if we want to know how actual 213 00:07:12,710 --> 00:07:10,800 the actual distance is moving in the air 214 00:07:15,189 --> 00:07:12,720 as opposed to calibrated airspeed which 215 00:07:18,150 --> 00:07:15,199 is an aerodynamic concept really 216 00:07:19,589 --> 00:07:18,160 not the actual movement so going back to 217 00:07:22,150 --> 00:07:19,599 chris's video 218 00:07:23,990 --> 00:07:22,160 uh he does some kind of rule of thumb 219 00:07:26,629 --> 00:07:24,000 based on his experience and knowledge 220 00:07:27,510 --> 00:07:26,639 and says that there's a certain turn 221 00:07:30,629 --> 00:07:27,520 radius 222 00:07:32,309 --> 00:07:30,639 standard rate of turn which is 223 00:07:33,670 --> 00:07:32,319 two minutes turn takes two minutes to go 224 00:07:35,670 --> 00:07:33,680 around a full 360 225 00:07:37,029 --> 00:07:35,680 which means you go three degrees every 226 00:07:39,350 --> 00:07:37,039 second so there's a standard rate of 227 00:07:43,189 --> 00:07:39,360 turn three degrees per second 228 00:07:46,390 --> 00:07:43,199 and he kind of kind of knows what the 229 00:07:49,430 --> 00:07:46,400 radius would be i think he puts it at 4 230 00:07:51,510 --> 00:07:49,440 2.4 2.4 nautical miles radius so from 231 00:07:52,550 --> 00:07:51,520 here the center of this turn to here 2.4 232 00:07:54,309 --> 00:07:52,560 nautical miles 233 00:07:56,309 --> 00:07:54,319 he's got his scale here one nautical 234 00:07:57,670 --> 00:07:56,319 mile and we're going to know how 235 00:07:59,589 --> 00:07:57,680 fast we're moving and how far we're 236 00:08:00,390 --> 00:07:59,599 going so he i'm not sure how he did this 237 00:08:02,550 --> 00:08:00,400 exactly but 238 00:08:04,070 --> 00:08:02,560 i guess it's a circle going around here 239 00:08:05,350 --> 00:08:04,080 it doesn't look like quite a perfect 240 00:08:07,909 --> 00:08:05,360 circle but it's probably 241 00:08:09,430 --> 00:08:07,919 close enough really so he starts here 242 00:08:12,309 --> 00:08:09,440 planes pointing upwards 243 00:08:14,469 --> 00:08:12,319 uh it goes to here the plane is now 244 00:08:17,189 --> 00:08:14,479 around a bit to the right and over here 245 00:08:19,909 --> 00:08:17,199 and he draws the line relative to the 246 00:08:21,670 --> 00:08:19,919 heading of the plane 247 00:08:23,830 --> 00:08:21,680 for the camera for each position so here 248 00:08:26,710 --> 00:08:23,840 53 degrees 249 00:08:27,909 --> 00:08:26,720 from straight ahead and the next one 38 250 00:08:30,070 --> 00:08:27,919 degrees from straight ahead 251 00:08:31,589 --> 00:08:30,080 and then the last one 21 degrees from 252 00:08:33,110 --> 00:08:31,599 straight ahead 253 00:08:35,110 --> 00:08:33,120 and then he shows where the intersect 254 00:08:36,310 --> 00:08:35,120 and it's pretty close saying like three 255 00:08:38,469 --> 00:08:36,320 miles away so 256 00:08:39,430 --> 00:08:38,479 that doesn't seem to really line up with 257 00:08:43,110 --> 00:08:39,440 the hypothesis 258 00:08:47,030 --> 00:08:43,120 of a distant jet does it 259 00:08:50,150 --> 00:08:47,040 so what i did is i tried to 260 00:08:52,870 --> 00:08:50,160 try to replicate this and what 261 00:08:53,670 --> 00:08:52,880 the way i did it was i used geogebra 262 00:08:55,269 --> 00:08:53,680 which is this 263 00:08:57,190 --> 00:08:55,279 nice little geometry program you can 264 00:08:59,430 --> 00:08:57,200 just stick in all kinds of numbers and 265 00:08:59,829 --> 00:08:59,440 equations and do lines and intersections 266 00:09:01,269 --> 00:08:59,839 and 267 00:09:03,990 --> 00:09:01,279 you know basically i'm trying to do the 268 00:09:05,910 --> 00:09:04,000 exact same thing he was doing so 269 00:09:07,829 --> 00:09:05,920 we've got right here this is where the 270 00:09:09,269 --> 00:09:07,839 jet is starting so this point one is the 271 00:09:11,190 --> 00:09:09,279 same as his point one 272 00:09:13,110 --> 00:09:11,200 point two here is the same as his point 273 00:09:15,110 --> 00:09:13,120 two and point three 274 00:09:17,430 --> 00:09:15,120 it's also the same as his point three 275 00:09:17,990 --> 00:09:17,440 and so you can see here we have 53 276 00:09:24,630 --> 00:09:18,000 degrees 277 00:09:27,910 --> 00:09:24,640 circle around which the plane goes 278 00:09:28,550 --> 00:09:27,920 and here i have the true airspeed at 350 279 00:09:31,350 --> 00:09:28,560 knots 280 00:09:33,590 --> 00:09:31,360 and i have the rate of turn set to three 281 00:09:35,670 --> 00:09:33,600 degrees per second now i'll explain 282 00:09:37,190 --> 00:09:35,680 at the end of the video what all these 283 00:09:39,350 --> 00:09:37,200 calculations are if you're interested in 284 00:09:42,470 --> 00:09:39,360 the math but basically this is just 285 00:09:43,350 --> 00:09:42,480 essentially the same thing as as chris 286 00:09:47,269 --> 00:09:43,360 had 287 00:09:49,750 --> 00:09:47,279 but in a more easily replicable form 288 00:09:51,590 --> 00:09:49,760 so i could do things like i could i 289 00:09:52,870 --> 00:09:51,600 could say if the true sv was actually 290 00:09:54,070 --> 00:09:52,880 450 like 291 00:09:55,910 --> 00:09:54,080 what difference would it make you know 292 00:09:59,590 --> 00:09:55,920 not a lot of difference actually so 293 00:10:02,870 --> 00:09:59,600 let's go back to 350 which is the actual 294 00:10:05,910 --> 00:10:02,880 airspeed so this is all based 295 00:10:09,509 --> 00:10:05,920 a upon a standard rate of turn 296 00:10:11,430 --> 00:10:09,519 of three degrees per second 297 00:10:13,590 --> 00:10:11,440 so the plane is turning to the left 298 00:10:17,110 --> 00:10:13,600 three degrees every second 299 00:10:21,509 --> 00:10:17,120 and it's traveling along this circle at 300 00:10:23,269 --> 00:10:21,519 um 350 knots true airspeed 301 00:10:26,790 --> 00:10:23,279 what happens though if we had a smaller 302 00:10:30,069 --> 00:10:26,800 rate of turn or if we go down to say 303 00:10:33,030 --> 00:10:30,079 2.5 now you can see here already the 304 00:10:33,350 --> 00:10:33,040 uh makes the circle a bit bigger because 305 00:10:36,389 --> 00:10:33,360 we're 306 00:10:38,710 --> 00:10:36,399 not turning so much and the 307 00:10:40,389 --> 00:10:38,720 lines the lines of bearing of the camera 308 00:10:42,389 --> 00:10:40,399 kind of go out a little bit further and 309 00:10:44,550 --> 00:10:42,399 the intersection is a little bit further 310 00:10:46,230 --> 00:10:44,560 now if you go out even further things 311 00:10:48,550 --> 00:10:46,240 can very quickly take a fairly 312 00:10:50,550 --> 00:10:48,560 dramatic turn we go down to two seeing 313 00:10:52,949 --> 00:10:50,560 things are very far away now 314 00:10:54,710 --> 00:10:52,959 now here i've i've listed the 315 00:10:56,550 --> 00:10:54,720 intersections of these lines so this is 316 00:10:57,990 --> 00:10:56,560 the first line of bearing the second 317 00:10:58,790 --> 00:10:58,000 line of bearing and the third line of 318 00:11:00,550 --> 00:10:58,800 bearing 319 00:11:02,630 --> 00:11:00,560 so this is the intersections of one with 320 00:11:04,069 --> 00:11:02,640 two one with three and two with three so 321 00:11:05,430 --> 00:11:04,079 it's just kind of showing roughly where 322 00:11:06,790 --> 00:11:05,440 they all intersect 323 00:11:08,630 --> 00:11:06,800 probably the interesting one is this 324 00:11:11,910 --> 00:11:08,640 this first one here intersect one 325 00:11:15,030 --> 00:11:11,920 two so this is the first ten seconds 326 00:11:17,350 --> 00:11:15,040 and uh i have it 327 00:11:18,230 --> 00:11:17,360 called out here the distance from here 328 00:11:20,389 --> 00:11:18,240 to here 329 00:11:21,670 --> 00:11:20,399 5.36 nautical miles with a rate of turn 330 00:11:23,670 --> 00:11:21,680 of 2.25 331 00:11:24,870 --> 00:11:23,680 we go back to three which is what uh 332 00:11:26,150 --> 00:11:24,880 chris was using 333 00:11:28,470 --> 00:11:26,160 and it's only three miles away three 334 00:11:29,030 --> 00:11:28,480 nautical miles which obviously is a bit 335 00:11:30,790 --> 00:11:29,040 close 336 00:11:32,550 --> 00:11:30,800 but anyway what if it was even lower 337 00:11:34,710 --> 00:11:32,560 what if it was all the way down to 338 00:11:36,389 --> 00:11:34,720 two you know now we're going up to eight 339 00:11:37,750 --> 00:11:36,399 nautical miles which is kind of 340 00:11:39,110 --> 00:11:37,760 getting more like it but it could be 341 00:11:41,030 --> 00:11:39,120 even lower than that like what about 342 00:11:44,069 --> 00:11:41,040 like you know 1.8 343 00:11:45,350 --> 00:11:44,079 uh 12 nautical miles or if it was like 344 00:11:46,949 --> 00:11:45,360 1.5 or 345 00:11:49,670 --> 00:11:46,959 32 nautical miles it's just all of a 346 00:11:51,829 --> 00:11:49,680 sudden gone really far away 347 00:11:54,069 --> 00:11:51,839 and if we keep going down it quickly 348 00:11:57,190 --> 00:11:54,079 pops into infinity 349 00:11:59,110 --> 00:11:57,200 so the idea that it's close depends very 350 00:12:01,190 --> 00:11:59,120 much on the rate of turn 351 00:12:03,269 --> 00:12:01,200 now chris said it's a standard rate of 352 00:12:06,389 --> 00:12:03,279 turn uh three degrees 353 00:12:06,870 --> 00:12:06,399 per uh second but is it though we can 354 00:12:11,110 --> 00:12:06,880 look at 355 00:12:12,870 --> 00:12:11,120 angle of the bank 356 00:12:14,230 --> 00:12:12,880 so we know the bank angle and we know 357 00:12:16,629 --> 00:12:14,240 the speed 358 00:12:18,069 --> 00:12:16,639 and we know uh we know the altitude but 359 00:12:19,030 --> 00:12:18,079 turns out that's not that's important 360 00:12:21,509 --> 00:12:19,040 because 361 00:12:22,790 --> 00:12:21,519 rate of turn is just based on true 362 00:12:24,870 --> 00:12:22,800 airspeed 363 00:12:27,430 --> 00:12:24,880 at least that's uh how i understand it i 364 00:12:31,750 --> 00:12:27,440 found this this chart 365 00:12:35,269 --> 00:12:31,760 which shows an fa18 as turn capabilities 366 00:12:37,829 --> 00:12:35,279 and down here we have the 367 00:12:38,629 --> 00:12:37,839 rate of turn calculator here over here 368 00:12:41,269 --> 00:12:38,639 we have true 369 00:12:42,150 --> 00:12:41,279 airspeed and down here we have the rate 370 00:12:44,629 --> 00:12:42,160 of turn 371 00:12:46,310 --> 00:12:44,639 so to figure out oh we have bank angles 372 00:12:48,389 --> 00:12:46,320 with different lines here 373 00:12:50,389 --> 00:12:48,399 so if we've got a bank angle of 30 374 00:12:52,389 --> 00:12:50,399 degrees what we do is we take the true 375 00:12:55,750 --> 00:12:52,399 air speed over here which was 376 00:12:56,150 --> 00:12:55,760 350 so just under this 360 line we go 377 00:12:58,550 --> 00:12:56,160 across 378 00:12:59,430 --> 00:12:58,560 until we intersect 30 degrees and then 379 00:13:02,150 --> 00:12:59,440 we go 380 00:13:04,310 --> 00:13:02,160 down and that brings us somewhere around 381 00:13:06,230 --> 00:13:04,320 i guess 1.75 382 00:13:07,670 --> 00:13:06,240 yeah something like that maybe a little 383 00:13:10,069 --> 00:13:07,680 uh one point seven it's a 384 00:13:11,670 --> 00:13:10,079 kind of logarithmic scale here what we 385 00:13:16,870 --> 00:13:11,680 can do is we can plug that 386 00:13:20,150 --> 00:13:16,880 into the equation here 1.7 387 00:13:21,670 --> 00:13:20,160 and it gives us 16 nautical miles away 388 00:13:23,430 --> 00:13:21,680 the very first intersect for the first 389 00:13:25,190 --> 00:13:23,440 10 seconds and actually over the first 390 00:13:26,069 --> 00:13:25,200 10 seconds it's not 30 degrees it's 391 00:13:29,110 --> 00:13:26,079 actually 392 00:13:31,030 --> 00:13:29,120 26 degrees if you measure the angle 26 393 00:13:32,629 --> 00:13:31,040 degrees so if it's 26 degrees that would 394 00:13:36,150 --> 00:13:32,639 be a line somewhere over here 395 00:13:39,829 --> 00:13:36,160 we can imagine this 350 coming across 396 00:13:42,310 --> 00:13:39,839 meeting the uh 26 degree line 397 00:13:44,310 --> 00:13:42,320 over here and then coming down it's even 398 00:13:45,910 --> 00:13:44,320 closer to 1.5 so it could be something 399 00:13:49,509 --> 00:13:45,920 like 1.6 400 00:13:52,949 --> 00:13:49,519 so let's go down to 1.6 and 401 00:13:55,110 --> 00:13:52,959 no it's uh 30 nautical miles away 402 00:13:56,710 --> 00:13:55,120 could possibly even be slightly over you 403 00:13:58,790 --> 00:13:56,720 know right now we're getting into the 404 00:14:00,629 --> 00:13:58,800 kind of asymptotic range where things 405 00:14:02,790 --> 00:14:00,639 diverge very very quickly so if it was a 406 00:14:03,829 --> 00:14:02,800 little bit slower there's 100 nautical 407 00:14:05,350 --> 00:14:03,839 miles 408 00:14:06,629 --> 00:14:05,360 and if we look at the the other 409 00:14:08,310 --> 00:14:06,639 intersection it's not even intersecting 410 00:14:10,470 --> 00:14:08,320 now because it's so far away 411 00:14:13,910 --> 00:14:10,480 we can go up down a little bit and poof 412 00:14:17,189 --> 00:14:13,920 cops who jumps to infinity 413 00:14:18,550 --> 00:14:17,199 so uh the question here you know i i 414 00:14:20,470 --> 00:14:18,560 don't know the exact answer because you 415 00:14:24,230 --> 00:14:20,480 know i could be making some mistake here 416 00:14:27,110 --> 00:14:24,240 that i could be misusing this uh i also 417 00:14:27,990 --> 00:14:27,120 use online calculators to do the same 418 00:14:31,430 --> 00:14:28,000 thing we can 419 00:14:33,110 --> 00:14:31,440 we can take the uh let's see 420 00:14:36,069 --> 00:14:33,120 we can use this as an online calculator 421 00:14:39,470 --> 00:14:36,079 to take 350 degrees take a bank angle of 422 00:14:40,710 --> 00:14:39,480 26 to calculate what we do it's like 423 00:14:44,069 --> 00:14:40,720 1.52 424 00:14:45,110 --> 00:14:44,079 degrees per second which if you stick 425 00:14:47,990 --> 00:14:45,120 that in 426 00:14:49,350 --> 00:14:48,000 to the the equations here 1.52 degrees 427 00:14:51,910 --> 00:14:49,360 per second 428 00:14:56,829 --> 00:14:51,920 and i can actually edit it directly i 429 00:15:02,310 --> 00:14:58,790 1.52 430 00:15:05,670 --> 00:15:02,320 72 nautical miles first intersection 431 00:15:09,350 --> 00:15:07,590 so i think there's some real questions 432 00:15:12,550 --> 00:15:09,360 here about chris's analysis 433 00:15:14,230 --> 00:15:12,560 is it actually close and perhaps we 434 00:15:15,590 --> 00:15:14,240 could resolve these questions what is 435 00:15:19,509 --> 00:15:15,600 the actual 436 00:15:23,030 --> 00:15:19,519 rate of turn of an f-18 in level flight 437 00:15:26,870 --> 00:15:23,040 at 25 000 feet with a 26 438 00:15:30,230 --> 00:15:26,880 28 or 30 degree bank to the left 439 00:15:31,110 --> 00:15:30,240 uh what will be the actual diameter of 440 00:15:33,269 --> 00:15:31,120 this circle 441 00:15:34,550 --> 00:15:33,279 and how far along it will we actually 442 00:15:37,509 --> 00:15:34,560 move given our 443 00:15:39,590 --> 00:15:37,519 true airspeed and what will these what 444 00:15:41,030 --> 00:15:39,600 will these lines point at will they 445 00:15:42,470 --> 00:15:41,040 point at something that's close or 446 00:15:45,749 --> 00:15:42,480 something that's far away 447 00:15:46,870 --> 00:15:45,759 based on my calculations just now using 448 00:15:47,910 --> 00:15:46,880 this chart 449 00:15:50,389 --> 00:15:47,920 it seems like they're pointing at 450 00:15:52,310 --> 00:15:50,399 something that's far away so let's try 451 00:15:54,470 --> 00:15:52,320 to resolve that 452 00:15:55,350 --> 00:15:54,480 and i'd be happy to talk to chris or 453 00:15:57,990 --> 00:15:55,360 anybody else 454 00:15:59,189 --> 00:15:58,000 regarding this but uh if i reached out 455 00:16:00,790 --> 00:15:59,199 on youtube and 456 00:16:02,150 --> 00:16:00,800 perhaps he didn't see my comments but so 457 00:16:03,430 --> 00:16:02,160 i haven't heard anything from him yet 458 00:16:08,150 --> 00:16:03,440 but i'd be happy to 459 00:16:10,790 --> 00:16:08,160 talk about it and go over it 460 00:16:12,230 --> 00:16:10,800 so i think yeah the rest of his gimbal 461 00:16:13,829 --> 00:16:12,240 debunking thing is mostly about he 462 00:16:15,749 --> 00:16:13,839 thinks the glare doesn't look 463 00:16:17,590 --> 00:16:15,759 like what he would expect a glare to 464 00:16:19,749 --> 00:16:17,600 look like but 465 00:16:21,430 --> 00:16:19,759 we've seen glares from planes and they 466 00:16:22,230 --> 00:16:21,440 do have these sharp outlines there's 467 00:16:24,870 --> 00:16:22,240 some by 468 00:16:26,150 --> 00:16:24,880 dave falch where he shows a glare that 469 00:16:28,470 --> 00:16:26,160 looks kind of similar 470 00:16:30,069 --> 00:16:28,480 and i've done experiments myself with a 471 00:16:32,069 --> 00:16:30,079 little thermal camera and 472 00:16:33,910 --> 00:16:32,079 you get this fairly sharp outline it 473 00:16:34,310 --> 00:16:33,920 must be i guess something to do with the 474 00:16:36,310 --> 00:16:34,320 way 475 00:16:37,509 --> 00:16:36,320 thermal images work you get a stark 476 00:16:40,790 --> 00:16:37,519 contrast 477 00:16:43,110 --> 00:16:40,800 and this kind of blob shape anyway so my 478 00:16:46,310 --> 00:16:43,120 point here is this is 479 00:16:48,710 --> 00:16:46,320 just simple facts and it's simple 480 00:16:50,310 --> 00:16:48,720 science and knowledge and mathematics 481 00:16:52,150 --> 00:16:50,320 that we should be able to come to some 482 00:16:53,910 --> 00:16:52,160 agreement on it doesn't have to be like 483 00:16:54,790 --> 00:16:53,920 you know i'm an expert or i'm not an 484 00:16:56,310 --> 00:16:54,800 expert 485 00:16:57,910 --> 00:16:56,320 and you have to trust me or trust 486 00:16:59,430 --> 00:16:57,920 someone else 487 00:17:01,990 --> 00:16:59,440 there should be a very straightforward 488 00:17:02,829 --> 00:17:02,000 answer to what is the rate of turn of 489 00:17:07,510 --> 00:17:02,839 this 490 00:17:09,590 --> 00:17:07,520 so let's figure that out i mean i'm 491 00:17:13,510 --> 00:17:09,600 thinking that it's you know more like 492 00:17:15,829 --> 00:17:13,520 1.6 degrees per second based on this uh 493 00:17:17,350 --> 00:17:15,839 this diagram here that perhaps i am 494 00:17:21,510 --> 00:17:17,360 misunderstanding it 495 00:17:24,870 --> 00:17:23,909 okay so if you're still with me i am 496 00:17:26,230 --> 00:17:24,880 going to 497 00:17:28,789 --> 00:17:26,240 kind of go through this just kind of 498 00:17:31,990 --> 00:17:28,799 explain what's actually going on 499 00:17:34,470 --> 00:17:32,000 uh just the the the broad mathematics of 500 00:17:35,750 --> 00:17:34,480 it so the first number i put into 501 00:17:38,390 --> 00:17:35,760 geogebra 502 00:17:40,230 --> 00:17:38,400 was this rate of turn and yeah i stuck 503 00:17:43,190 --> 00:17:40,240 it at three originally so let me just 504 00:17:45,190 --> 00:17:43,200 edit it back to three 505 00:17:46,789 --> 00:17:45,200 so that's degrees per second three 506 00:17:49,669 --> 00:17:46,799 degrees per second 507 00:17:51,669 --> 00:17:49,679 this turn 10 is how much it turns in 10 508 00:17:54,150 --> 00:17:51,679 degrees which is 30 degrees and you see 509 00:17:57,110 --> 00:17:54,160 that down here 510 00:17:58,470 --> 00:17:57,120 in 10 seconds between 0.1 and 0.2 it has 511 00:17:59,590 --> 00:17:58,480 moved 30 degrees and then it moves 512 00:18:02,630 --> 00:17:59,600 another 30 degrees to 513 00:18:06,070 --> 00:18:02,640 0.3 uh 514 00:18:10,230 --> 00:18:06,080 the turn 360 duration 515 00:18:10,870 --> 00:18:10,240 is the number of seconds it takes to go 516 00:18:14,230 --> 00:18:10,880 around 517 00:18:17,590 --> 00:18:14,240 the circle uh is 518 00:18:17,990 --> 00:18:17,600 is 120 for a two minute standard rate 519 00:18:20,710 --> 00:18:18,000 turn 520 00:18:21,750 --> 00:18:20,720 three degrees per second gives you 120. 521 00:18:24,870 --> 00:18:21,760 and this number here 522 00:18:27,590 --> 00:18:24,880 uh turn circ is turn circumference this 523 00:18:30,070 --> 00:18:27,600 is the circumference of this circle 524 00:18:31,430 --> 00:18:30,080 so this is the calculation here that uh 525 00:18:33,669 --> 00:18:31,440 everything depends on so you want to 526 00:18:36,230 --> 00:18:33,679 make sure you got this right so this is 527 00:18:37,110 --> 00:18:36,240 if we take the true air speed divide it 528 00:18:39,830 --> 00:18:37,120 by 529 00:18:41,190 --> 00:18:39,840 uh 3600 which is the number of seconds 530 00:18:43,830 --> 00:18:41,200 in an hour 531 00:18:46,230 --> 00:18:43,840 that converts not nautical miles per 532 00:18:49,029 --> 00:18:46,240 hour into nautical miles per second 533 00:18:49,830 --> 00:18:49,039 and then we multiply that by 120 120 534 00:18:52,789 --> 00:18:49,840 seconds 535 00:18:54,950 --> 00:18:52,799 to get the length in nautical miles of 536 00:18:55,430 --> 00:18:54,960 the circumference of this circle so it 537 00:18:58,710 --> 00:18:55,440 gives you 538 00:19:00,710 --> 00:18:58,720 11.67 about 12 nautical miles 539 00:19:03,029 --> 00:19:00,720 around you can then take the 540 00:19:05,110 --> 00:19:03,039 circumference and turn it into a radius 541 00:19:07,190 --> 00:19:05,120 by taking the turn circumference and 542 00:19:09,190 --> 00:19:07,200 divided by 2 pi 543 00:19:10,549 --> 00:19:09,200 because circumference is 2 times pi 544 00:19:11,990 --> 00:19:10,559 times the radius 545 00:19:14,950 --> 00:19:12,000 so that gives you a radius which is the 546 00:19:17,990 --> 00:19:14,960 distance from the center to the jet 547 00:19:20,310 --> 00:19:18,000 of 1.86 548 00:19:21,669 --> 00:19:20,320 and then we use that to construct all 549 00:19:23,430 --> 00:19:21,679 these other things so we construct a 550 00:19:26,310 --> 00:19:23,440 circle here this 551 00:19:27,110 --> 00:19:26,320 see this c here is a circle centered on 552 00:19:31,990 --> 00:19:27,120 point c 553 00:19:35,110 --> 00:19:32,000 with a turn radius uh of turn radius 554 00:19:36,549 --> 00:19:35,120 and then we can take the intersection of 555 00:19:38,710 --> 00:19:36,559 the 30 degree line 556 00:19:40,710 --> 00:19:38,720 with that circle and it gives you 0.2 557 00:19:41,830 --> 00:19:40,720 and the intersection of the 60 degree 558 00:19:44,789 --> 00:19:41,840 line with this circle 559 00:19:45,510 --> 00:19:44,799 gives you 0.3 so we can take each of 560 00:19:48,710 --> 00:19:45,520 these points 561 00:19:49,669 --> 00:19:48,720 and now we have the angle of the camera 562 00:19:52,070 --> 00:19:49,679 to the left 563 00:19:53,830 --> 00:19:52,080 and it's 53 degrees here so we take the 564 00:19:54,549 --> 00:19:53,840 the heading here at this point on the 565 00:19:56,470 --> 00:19:54,559 circle 566 00:19:58,789 --> 00:19:56,480 go 53 degrees to the left this gives you 567 00:20:01,430 --> 00:19:58,799 a line of bearing going over there 568 00:20:02,549 --> 00:20:01,440 take this one here we take 38 degrees to 569 00:20:04,470 --> 00:20:02,559 the left of the tangent 570 00:20:06,230 --> 00:20:04,480 of the circle gives you this line of 571 00:20:09,430 --> 00:20:06,240 bearing and this point here 572 00:20:11,190 --> 00:20:09,440 finally 21 degrees to the left of the 573 00:20:12,710 --> 00:20:11,200 tangent to the circle 574 00:20:14,390 --> 00:20:12,720 and it gives you this line of bearing so 575 00:20:17,190 --> 00:20:14,400 we've got the three lines of bearing 576 00:20:18,470 --> 00:20:17,200 which are all you know the same as as in 577 00:20:21,909 --> 00:20:18,480 chris's 578 00:20:23,430 --> 00:20:21,919 uh diagram earlier and uh then 579 00:20:24,950 --> 00:20:23,440 i'm simply taking the intersection 580 00:20:28,230 --> 00:20:24,960 between the lines here 581 00:20:29,590 --> 00:20:28,240 so given that this is all computed from 582 00:20:31,510 --> 00:20:29,600 the rate of turn 583 00:20:33,830 --> 00:20:31,520 and the true airspeed the only two two 584 00:20:36,070 --> 00:20:33,840 variables we have here 585 00:20:37,830 --> 00:20:36,080 other than 10 second intervals we can 586 00:20:39,430 --> 00:20:37,840 then take the rate of turn and we can we 587 00:20:41,110 --> 00:20:39,440 can adjust it and see what effect it has 588 00:20:42,630 --> 00:20:41,120 now obviously if we go down to 589 00:20:45,270 --> 00:20:42,640 a zero rated term we're going in a 590 00:20:47,750 --> 00:20:45,280 straight line and the the 591 00:20:49,190 --> 00:20:47,760 the circle flattens out but you know 592 00:20:50,630 --> 00:20:49,200 we're interested in 593 00:20:52,230 --> 00:20:50,640 standard rate of turn looks like this 594 00:20:54,950 --> 00:20:52,240 looks like chris's diagram 595 00:20:55,510 --> 00:20:54,960 rate of turn that's lower like 1.8 or 596 00:20:57,750 --> 00:20:55,520 whatever 597 00:21:00,470 --> 00:20:57,760 things get to be much much further away 598 00:21:03,590 --> 00:21:00,480 uh say 12 nautical miles there for 1.8 599 00:21:06,789 --> 00:21:03,600 or 42 multiple miles for 600 00:21:09,590 --> 00:21:06,799 that and down below 1.5 it's it's 601 00:21:11,750 --> 00:21:09,600 infinitely far away 602 00:21:12,710 --> 00:21:11,760 so i'll place a link to this calculator 603 00:21:14,390 --> 00:21:12,720 so you can verify 604 00:21:16,310 --> 00:21:14,400 all this yourself but all the math is 605 00:21:18,070 --> 00:21:16,320 here just on the side panel 606 00:21:19,430 --> 00:21:18,080 it's all very straightforward you can do 607 00:21:22,390 --> 00:21:19,440 it yourself 608 00:21:23,510 --> 00:21:22,400 and it's a it's it's you know doing it 609 00:21:26,149 --> 00:21:23,520 with pencil and paper 610 00:21:28,070 --> 00:21:26,159 is great but it you you get one diagram 611 00:21:29,750 --> 00:21:28,080 and this way you can very easily 612 00:21:32,310 --> 00:21:29,760 experiment with differences and you can 613 00:21:33,270 --> 00:21:32,320 see what a lot of resistance difference 614 00:21:36,549 --> 00:21:33,280 a small 615 00:21:40,230 --> 00:21:38,710 so yeah probably lost most of the 616 00:21:41,990 --> 00:21:40,240 audience with that technical thing but 617 00:21:45,110 --> 00:21:42,000 if you're still here listening 618 00:21:46,789 --> 00:21:45,120 uh let's uh let's work it out 619 00:21:49,270 --> 00:21:46,799 let's figure out what's actually going 620 00:21:52,470 --> 00:21:49,280 on here i'm open to being wrong 621 00:21:53,110 --> 00:21:52,480 but i think i've raised a valid point 622 00:21:55,430 --> 00:21:53,120 here that